How data can unlock music catalogue valuations – Luminate Insights

By: 

Robert Steiner


Wondering how can a $120 million price tag be assigned to the music catalogue of a band that isn’t exactly a household name outside of its rabid fan base in the nu metal music scene? Data can help assess factors like a catalogue’s streaming performance, fan habits and genre trends, which are all crucial for determining value.

Calculating valuations like the hefty sum Slipknot is  reportedly fetching from HarbourView Equity can be a tricky proposition in the bustling music rights market.

Luminate’s latest special report, Music Rights & Catalog Acquisitions, assesses the modern-day catalogue market, including the vital role music consumption data plays in determining the value of a given oeuvre.

To be clear, music catalogue valuations are intensive endeavors involving numerous experts with their own confidential procedures. But Luminate data can help assess factors like a catalogue’s streaming performance, fan habits and genre trends, which are all crucial for determining value.

Given that streaming is the primary income source for most rights holders, streaming data is vital for evaluating a given artist or catalogue. In Slipknot’s case, the band reached 2.2 billion global On-Demand Audio (ODA) streams in 2024. That’s a 15% increase from 2023 (1.9 billion) and double that of 2020 (1.1 billion).

Not only is that a clear sign of solid long-term growth, but since streaming payouts are based on share, we can assume Slipknot’s streaming revenue growth increased at a faster rate than the industry. For context, global industry revenue from streaming grew only about 7% from 2023 to 2024, per the IFPI.

Another key factor that would be appealing to buyers is the fact that Slipknot’s streams are well distributed across the band’s discography rather than derived from just the top handful of hits.

Only its most-listened-to track, ’Duality’, was responsible for over 10% of Slipknot’s 2024 global streams. For comparison, fellow ’90s metal band System of a Down saw a similar global ODA streams total in 2024 (2.7 billion), but the group’s top five tracks were below around 55% of that total.

Catalogue sales often include rights for name, image and likeness. We don’t know if Slipknot’s NIL rights are on the table, but it does beg the question: How would one exploit a provocative and proudly non-mainstream brand like the one Slipknot has intentionally built?

The band obviously has fans, but from its aggressive sound to the iconic horror movie-inspired masks the nine members wear onstage, it’s not a stretch to say Slipknot isn’t as accessible as some rock acts that closed massive catalogue deals, including Queen or Pink Floyd

But as HarbourView is probably aware, the last thing it should do is water down the Slipknot brand for mass appeal. Investors are buying into a fanbase — affectionately known as “Maggots” — that’s considered one of the most dedicated followings in rock. Its look and sound not being mainstream doesn’t really matter when there are fans who share a deep emotional connection  to the band and their music.

Such a long-term cult following is a powerful force, especially as the music industry continues to lean into “Superfans.” And their genre seems to inspire a higher level of fan dedication: Luminate’s US Artist + Genre Tracker found that fans of heavy metal rock spend an average of 60 hours a month listening to music (versus the U.S. general population’s 44 hours).

Additionally, 86% of metalheads specifically listened to music from the ’90s — 18% higher than U.S. gen pop.

These trends help to explain why the masked men of Slipknot are so popular among metal fans, and it likely gives their catalogue investors confidence in having long-term returns. Music Rights & Catalog Acquisitions is your gateway to learning more about the booming catalog market.

Robert Steiner is Media Analyst, Luminate Intelligence, at Luminate Data. This article is taken from Luminate Data’s Tuesday Takeaway newsletter. Want to learn more about this week’s Tuesday Takeaway topic? Interested in how Luminate can help answer your burning business questions? Or do you just want to submit an idea for a future Tuesday Takeaway? Reach out to us!

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